Thursday, October 27, 2016

Margin of Premeditated Error

Clinton now leads Trump within the margin-of-error--by three points, 44 to 41 percent among likely voters ...  Third-party candidates play a role here, as Gary Johnson (14 percent) and Jill Stein (7 percent) receive the combined support of more than one-in-five independents. [More]
No rationale Libertarians, Never Trump Republicans and gun owners who won't vote can offer will negate the observable reality that if Trump doesn't win, Hillary will.

2 comments:

Archer said...

Wait.

44 + 41 + 14 + 7 != 100. Not even within rounding errors (+/- 1 per candidate).

I'd say they're inflating Hillary's numbers by a few points, but I actually think they're over-playing Jill Stein's support. Not even in neo-hippie, tree-loving Oregon does the Green Party candidate get more than 3%.

Anonymous said...

They're inflating the non-trump numbers to cover the election theft coup.