The numbers told a shocking story: irrespective of whether the country quarantined like Israel, or went about business as usual like Sweden, coronavirus peaked and subsided in the exact same way. In the exact, same, way. [More]Anybody else getting the feeling we've been bare-ass naked in the town square conned?
[Via Michael G]
“plotted the RATES of new coronavirus infections… His graphs show that all countries experienced seemingly identical coronavirus infection patterns, with the number of infected peaking in the sixth week and rapidly subsiding by the eighth week.”
ReplyDeleteYes, but it says nothing about the NUMBER of infected and dead. He’s plotting rates — the PATTERN of infection. He’s saying the epidemic lasts a set number of weeks, and follows the same curve. He doesn’t say how HIGH the top of the curve is, only its shape.
At least that’s assuming the article is accurate. The original paper is in Hebrew, and Google Translate just site and spins on it, so good luck with that.
Quarantining wouldn’t change the "course" of the infection as much as it would change the number of people infected.