Those are some pretty big "ifs."
[More]
Here's one that -- barring something totally unforeseen -- is a given: IF Trump doesn't win, Hillary will.
It's not a question of whether or not we like that "choice" (or lack thereof), and for the purpose of this argument it's not even a value judgment or a warning -- it's simply an acknowledgement of a reality that, again, barring something totally unforeseen, we're trapped in.
Disagree if you like. Bring facts that can be independently validated, not mere opinions, if you expect to persuade.