Clinton now leads Trump within the margin-of-error--by three points, 44 to 41 percent among likely voters ... Third-party candidates play a role here, as Gary Johnson (14 percent) and Jill Stein (7 percent) receive the combined support of more than one-in-five independents. [More]No rationale Libertarians, Never Trump Republicans and gun owners who won't vote can offer will negate the observable reality that if Trump doesn't win, Hillary will.
Thursday, October 27, 2016
Margin of Premeditated Error
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2 comments:
Wait.
44 + 41 + 14 + 7 != 100. Not even within rounding errors (+/- 1 per candidate).
I'd say they're inflating Hillary's numbers by a few points, but I actually think they're over-playing Jill Stein's support. Not even in neo-hippie, tree-loving Oregon does the Green Party candidate get more than 3%.
They're inflating the non-trump numbers to cover the election theft coup.
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