The latest Rasmussen Reports White House Watch national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows Clinton with 42% support and Trump with 41%. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson has inched back up to match his high of nine percent (9%), while Green Party nominee Jill Stein remains in last place with two percent (2%). Another two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. [More]Polls are likely to differ by a couple percentage points, and they change as events occur and the date approaches, but chances are, reality will end up approximating them within a few percentage points.
And that reality is, with no "value" judgement attached to it, just a standalone truism:
If Trump does not win, Hillary will.
A corollary truism:
Gary Johnson voters have the numbers to affect that outcome more than Jill Stein voters do.
If you wish to disagree with these assertions, bring facts to refute them, not opinions, anecdotes, or candidate or policy critiques. If you wish to disagree with my policy assertions, the place to do that is here.




























